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Serious Yesterday it was noted that the sentencing date for
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Yesterday it was noted that the sentencing date for #1
Mychal Kendricks’ case has been pushed back to April 4. Obviously that throws a wrench in both his chances to know what his status is when free agency opens in March D.K. Metcalf Jersey , while also lowering the possibility that he might be available to play during the 2019 season.There has been a lot of speculation on social media and online discussions about how much time he might get, ranging from house arrest to multiple years behind bars, so without delving too much things, let’s just take a look at what the federal sentencing guidelines have to say. The first thing to look at is the charges to which Kendricks pled guilty. When he pled guilty in court back in September, Kendricks plead to two felonies: conspiracy to commit securities fraud and securities fraud. Now, before jumping directly to the sentencing guidelines for Kendricks situation, let’s do a bit of reading in the 2018 version of the Federal Sentencing Guidelines Manual. Specifically, when it comes to crimes similar in nature to that of those to which Kendricks pled guilty. So, that is obviously not a good omen, as it specifically names insider trading as one of the crimes for which historical punishments may have been too light. Now, continuing on to the very next paragraph, there is a piece which is pertinent to Kendricks as a first time offender. To better understand that, basically, the federal sentencing guidelines give a judge some leeway with less serious offenses, and the crimes are categorized by levels. So, as we read there, levels one through eight may get probation, levels nine and ten may get probation instead of a prison term but the probation must include confinement (like house arrest or something similar) and for offenses of levels eleven and twelve, the sentence must at least be half confinement. So, that being understood, let’s go find out what level of offense insider trading (technically securities fraud) is. Great , so insider trading has a Base Offense Level of 8. That would mean, as we read above, that he would qualify for potential probation. However, reading just a little further we see the following:Obviously there are two parts to that. We’ll start with part two, which reads as follows:In short, if you take the time to read the indictment from back in the fall, Kendricks meets the criteria of this portion of the guidelines, so his sentence is bumped to a lever fourteen offense. Then, let’s look at part 1. Now, I know this is where a lot of fans will be opposed to the facts, but these are the facts. Even though many will argue that insider trading is a “victimless crime”, that is irrelevant because that is not the law. The law states that the penalties for insider trading are based on how much money a defendant made trading on that information, and that the penalties for insider trading are no different than for embezzlement, theft or fraud. In short, in the eyes of the federal courts Kendricks might as well have stolen a million dollars, because in the eyes of the court that’s what he did. Now, some will argue that he paid it all back, and while that’s all fine and dandy, should the embezzler who paid back their employer get a shorter sentence because they paid the money back? Should a financial fraudster running a ponzi scheme get credit for paying the money back? Personally, my feeling is that once you’re caught with your hand red handed in the cookie jar, you can’t simply go out and buy cookies to replace the ones you got caught stealing and get off free because of that. In any case L.J. Collier Jersey , as you can see the part 1, because Kendricks made more than $1M from his insider trading scheme, under that table he should have 14 levels added. Now, I’m not going to ramble on and on about whether how they determine that is fair, it is what it is, and there’s nothing any complaining can do about it. So, here’s the federal sentencing guidelines table with levels on it, with the recommended sentences provided in months. And to explain the dividers in the chart, basically: Zone A is less serious than Zone B, which is less serious than Zone C, etc. Zone A qualifies for probation. Zone D requires, well, here’s what the sentencing manual says. In short, since Kendricks conviction falls in Zone D, prison is the recommended sentence, even for first time offenders such as Kendricks. So, I keep seeing fans reference hopes for house arrest or just probation, but the simple fact of the matter is that the federal sentencing guidelines are a whole lot harsher than they were even ten or fifteen years ago. Thus, we won’t know what Kendricks’ sentence actually is for several more months, but the odds of him avoiding prison are rather slim based on the crimes to which he pled guilty and the sentences associated with those crimes. The Seattle Seahawks entered the offseason with four big matters to address with players who contracts are set to expire after the 2019 season, including quarterback Russell Wilson , defensive end F..." />Skip to main contentclockmenumore-arrownoyesHorizontal - WhiteField Gullsa Seattle Seahawks communityLog In or Sign UpLog InSign UpFanpostsFanshotsSectionsSeahawksOddsAboutMastheadCommunity GuidelinesStubHubMoreAll 322 blogs on Horizontal - WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections VideosCoffee and CigarettesGame AnalysisThe Numbers GameCigar ThoughtsFiled under:The OffseasonCap ClassroomLooking at what Bobby Wagner could ask for in an extensionNew,49commentsPDTShareTweetShareShareLooking at what Bobby Wagner could ask for in an extensionPhoto by Harry How/Getty ImagesThe Seattle Seahawks entered the offseason with four big matters to address with players who contracts are set to expire after the 2019 season, including quarterback Russell Wilson, defensive end Frank Clark, defensive tackle Jarran Reed and middle linebacker Bobby Wagner. They are halfway through that list, with the Wilson and Clark situations resolved, and now they can turn their attention to Reed and Wagner. Today I’ll start with a basic look at the arguments behind why Wagner could command a significant raise in an extension, and in a separate piece in the future will look at the flip side from the team’s perspective. For starters, Bwagz is the best middle linebacker in the NFL. He’s been nothing but consistently great since being drafted by the Seahawks in 2012, and he has the awards and accolades to back that up. Sure, one could argue that Luke Kuechly of the Carolina Panthers is there with Wagner, but that’s not what we’re debating today. In any case, Wagner’s current deal is for four years and $43M, an APY of $10.75M. However, as anyone who has been watching is well aware, the linebacker market was not just reset this offseason, it was completely blown out of the water. Kwon Alexander signed the with San Francisco 49ers for $13.5M, Anthony Barr got $13.5M from the Minnesota Vikings and C.J. Mosley signed with the New York Jets for a whopping $17M. So, the question becomes where should Wagner be placed among these? He’s far better than any of those three linebackers, but he’s also older, so could he command the $17M that Mosley got Ugo Amadi Jersey , or even potentially more? Simply looking at things from the franchise tag point of view, the franchise tag for linebackers in 2019 is $15.443M, and one would expect that amount to go higher in 2020. However, the franchise tag is for the higher of the set amount determined by the formula laid out in the CBA or 120% of the player’s prior year salary. Bobby carries a cap hit of somewhere between $13.1M and $14.1M depending on how many games he plays in 2019, as he has $1M in per game roster bonuses. Thus, assuming he stays healthy and is active for all 16 games in 2019, he’d make $14.1M, and 120% of $14.1M is $16.92M. From there, since a second tag carries a cap hit of 120% of the player’s prior year salary, for 2021 he’d project to have a cap hit of $20.304M. Adding those two cap hits together, it yields a combined two year total of $37.224M, or $18.612M per year. Thus, from Wagner’s perspective, that is where negotiations would be likely to start. That doesn’t necessarily mean that that is his floor, just that in any negotiation that he has with the team, he can reasonably be expected to start with that asking price. Obviously, the team will counter and attempt to negotiate lower salaries, but as noted, that’s a different piece for a different day. Today’s nugget is simply that Wagner has a legitimate case to start his negotiations at a number that would reset the linebacker market yet again.


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